Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.033520 0.039055 0.045147 0.052341 0.060592 0.069751 0.080678
2025-08-31 0.024514 0.031538 0.039990 0.050871 0.064465 0.080844 0.102025
2025-09-07 0.020064 0.028112 0.038564 0.053039 0.072463 0.097505 0.132099
2025-09-14 0.016176 0.024468 0.035993 0.053022 0.077343 0.110595 0.159209
2025-09-21 0.012944 0.021001 0.032915 0.051574 0.079756 0.120345 0.182726
2025-09-28 0.010734 0.018565 0.030813 0.051028 0.083120 0.131523 0.209256
2025-10-05 0.009726 0.017799 0.031062 0.053979 0.091966 0.151582 0.250994
2025-10-12 0.008707 0.016807 0.030747 0.055885 0.099263 0.169881 0.291784
2025-10-19 0.007333 0.014932 0.028625 0.054390 0.100639 0.178684 0.318027
2025-10-26 0.006349 0.013592 0.027221 0.053895 0.103558 0.190175 0.349669
2025-11-02 0.005391 0.012128 0.025353 0.052252 0.104145 0.197589 0.374844
2025-11-09 0.004624 0.010910 0.023763 0.050885 0.105002 0.205437 0.401359
2025-11-16 0.004082 0.010092 0.022881 0.050848 0.108500 0.218649 0.439363
2025-11-23 0.003503 0.009087 0.021458 0.049511 0.109274 0.226833 0.468804
2025-11-30 0.003278 0.008864 0.021682 0.051673 0.117394 0.249940 0.529075
2025-12-07 0.002924 0.008261 0.020966 0.051679 0.120985 0.264413 0.573672
2025-12-14 0.002529 0.007476 0.019708 0.050277 0.121351 0.272337 0.605752
2025-12-21 0.002239 0.006909 0.018878 0.049749 0.123565 0.284263 0.647109
2025-12-28 0.002158 0.006906 0.019442 0.052633 0.133864 0.314317 0.729297
2026-01-04 0.002032 0.006748 0.019586 0.054497 0.141976 0.340326 0.804977
2026-01-11 0.001775 0.006149 0.018479 0.053036 0.141970 0.348317 0.841838
2026-01-18 0.001589 0.005728 0.017786 0.052554 0.144286 0.361742 0.891957
2026-01-25 0.001385 0.005207 0.016730 0.050948 0.143588 0.368100 0.926480